Bison Bills at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Playoff Pick

Bison Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Pick -

Bison (+107)

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The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday night to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL Playoffs divisional round. On the line is a spot in the AFC Championship game in a challenge pitting what numerous specialists feel are the two best groups actually staying in the gathering.

These two groups have apparently been on a crash course the entire year and have combat in some high-profile matchups over the course of the last year or so of play. The game starts off on Sunday night at 6:30 PM Eastern Time from Geha Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

Live Odds and Betting History

The accompanying chances are graciousness of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneylines Totals

Bison Bills +1.5 (- 105) +107 Over 54.5 (- 109)

Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (- 110) -127 Under 54.5 (- 111)

Wagering Data Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs

2021 Record 12-6 13-5

2021 Home 7-3 8-2

2021 Away 5-3 5-3

2021 ATS 10-6-2 9-9

2021 ATS Home 5-3-2 5-5

2021 ATS Away 5-3 4-4

2021 O/U 9-9 11-7

2021 O/U Home 4-6 5-5

2021 O/U Away 5-3 6-2

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Game Preview

The Bills and Chiefs are currently assembling the most extreme between divisional contention in the whole NFL. Kansas City knocked off the Bills in the AFC Championship last season, however the Bills gave back in kind with a 38-20 cavort in October of this season. It's a tight series, with the Bills driving 27-23-1 and the two groups having parted four postseason games against one another as the years progressed.

Bison comes into this game on a detach subsequent to shaking the middle of the season dejection. They won four in succession toward the finish of the ordinary season to guarantee another AFC East title. In their Wild Card round game last week, they dissected their division rival New England 47-17 in the elastic coordinate of their 2021-22 season series with a savagely productive offense and crafty protection.

Kansas City is looking for its third consecutive AFC Championship in the event that they can win this week and the following, which would make them the principal group to achieve that accomplishment since, unexpectedly enough, Buffalo won four in succession from 1990 to 1993. The Chiefs eight-game series of wins in the wake of beginning the year 3-4 set another AFC West crown. In the Wild Card Round, they shook off a sluggish begin to victory weighty longshot Pittsburgh 42-21.

Opening Odds and Line Movement for Game

This line opened up with the Chiefs as a 2-point most loved playing on their home field against the Bills. There has been a great deal of development from that point forward, with the spread coming to as high as three. A flood of activity on the Bills has brought the line down to 1 1/2, which is really a half-point lower than where it began.

The over/under line was at first set at 54 once these two high-scoring offenses were gotten into this matchup. In any case, that wasn't sufficiently high for the bettors, as they bet it up as high as 55 1/2. It has since directed a little and settled back at 54 1/2.

Straight on Betting Trends

Bison went out and about and crushed Kansas City recently on October 10, covering the spread as a 2 1/2 point longshot 윈윈벳  in a game that went a point over the over/under line of 57

The group that has dominated the match out and out takes care of the spread the last multiple times the Bills have played the Chiefs

Only one of the last five games played in this series has been chosen by under a score

At the point when these two groups met in Kansas City during last year's postseason (in the AFC Championship Game), the Chiefs won 38-24 to cover the spread as a three-point number one

Kansas City has both won by and large and shrouded the spread in five of their last seven gatherings with the Bills

Bison Bills Betting Trends

Bison has a 5-3 record both through and through and against the spread in games it played out and about this season

The Bills have dominated their last five matches and are 4-0-1 against the spread in those challenges

Bison has been an extreme group to stop while streaking, as they've shrouded the spread in 68% of their games over the last three seasons while following up something like two successes in succession

The Bills take care of the spread at a pace of 41% in their season finisher games beginning around 1993

Bison has both won out and out and canvassed the spread in 71% of their games played against the AFC West starting from the beginning of the 2019 season MORE INFO

The Bills take care of the spread in 65% of their street games over the last three times of play

In games where the point spread is three focuses or lower, Buffalo takes care of the spread at a pace of 68% starting around 2019

Bison takes care of the spread 69% of the time they were the dark horse over the beyond three seasons

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

Albeit the Chiefs dominated eight of ten matches at home, they shrouded the spread in just five of those ten challenges

The over has been the right wagered in the last six games played by the Chiefs

Kansas City takes care of the spread in seven of the last nine games that they've played

In the beyond two postseasons, Kansas City has won six out of seven games and shrouded the spread in five out of seven

Ongoing achievement to the side, the Chiefs take care of the spread in the end of the season games at a pace of only 33% starting around 1993

The Chiefs have won 86% of their games against the AFC East and take care of the spread in 71% of those games

While playing a group that beat them before in the season a second time starting around 2019, the Chiefs are 6-1 by and large and 5-2 against the spread

The Chiefs take care of the spread at a pace of 53% at home beginning around 2019

Free Bet and Game Prediction:

The account of the main game between these two groups this season was the manner by which effectively Buffalo moved the ball, and how imprudent Kansas City was the point at which they had it. Four turnovers were committed by the Chiefs, while the Bills didn't lose it once. In last week's success over Pittsburgh, the Chiefs permitted a protective score by the Steelers after a messed up handoff, so those issues haven't been worked out completely.

At the point when you look at these two groups, there are a great deal of similitudes with regards to the hostile creation. Yet, there is an extraordinary difference in the two protections that will be on the field Sunday at Arrowhead. The Bills were first in the association in rival's yardage, yards per play, and focuses per game; the Chiefs were 24th, 28th and tenth, separately, in those equivalent classes.

Despite the fact that they don't have a prevailing sacker, the Bills were fifth in the association in sack rate. They're not as sharp guarding the run, but rather it's suspicious the Chiefs will attempt to go after a lot of that way, particularly with no Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the setup. In the event that Chiefs go to the profound pass, they run into the Bills' champion  securities Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer, who tidy up a ton of wrecks.

One distinction between the main gathering between the two groups is that the Bills will be without Tre'Davious White, their closure cornerback. Folks like Taron Johnson and Levi Wallace have moved forward in his nonappearance. However, they'll be tried by Tyreek Hill, who ought to be once again ready for action subsequent to playing 레이스벳 sparingly throughout the previous fourteen days, with Chiefs Coach Andy Reid probably anticipating this game while resting Hill.

We should expect that the Chiefs play the ball control game at which they've succeeded of late and remain sufficiently patient to imprint the Bills guard by 1,000 cuts. Will it be sufficient assuming that Buffalo is scoring on each one its assets? That is exactly the very thing that the Bills did against a decent Patriots protection, with just the finish of-game stoop down preventing them from moving up another score.

Kansas City's guard had a decent stretch in the season. However, they've frequently shriveled when confronted with a top quarterback with numerous getting dangers. In comes Josh Allen tossing to wideouts Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, Gabriel Davis and, a person who is scorching and hurt the Chiefs whenever they first met, tight end Dawson Knox.

It's likewise disturbing that the Chiefs presumably won't be ready to come down on Allen. They didn't sack him at all whenever they first played, and they come into the game 31st in the association in sack rate. Taking into account the Bills were second-best in the association in safeguarding the quarterback, it's most likely the case Allen's shirt will be perfect.

Include the way that the Bills have been running the ball, in customary design, with significantly more trust in their late-season streak. Devin Singletary has his three best yardage rounds of the time in the last four standard season challenges. Try not to be shocked in the event that he breaks a couple of on a Chiefs protection attempting to prevent Allen from burning them as he did last time (315 yards and three scores.)

There is something particularly valuable about both the Chiefs greatness throughout recent years in the AFC end of the season games and the home field advantage. That ought to even this game out from what the ability levels propose. Yet again anticipate that Buffalo should start to lead the pack early and Mahomes and the Chiefs to be contending energetically to the finish to return, just to miss the mark to the dark horse Bills.

Pick:

Bison

Chances:

+107

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Bison Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Recap:

Oddsmaker: BetOnline

Moneylines: Buffalo +107, Kansas City - 127

Spread: Buffalo +1.5 (- 105), Kansas City - 1.5 (- 115)

Over/Under: 54.5 (Over - 109, Under - 111)

Forecast: Buffalo Bills 34, Kansas City Chiefs 32